NAI Global's Global Market Report Details Challenging 2009

Commercial real estate markets around the world experienced the full impact of the global economic recession in 2009, according to the 24th annual Global Market Report released by NAI Global. Rising vacancy rates and declining rental rates were evident in virtually every market sector and geography, with weak demand and a growing supply of sublease space further eroding market fundamentals.

After a turbulent 18-24 months since the market peaked, 2009 marked a year where transaction volume nearly came to a standstill as corporate tenants waited for clear signs of recovery and investors remained on the sidelines waiting for signs the bottom has been reached. As the year progressed, government intervention in the form of stimulus packages in the U.S., Europe and parts of Asia took hold and by year’s end many markets had begun to stabilize. However, with U.S. unemployment topping 10%, consumer demand and spending power at their lowest levels in decades and international manufacturing and trade proceeding at a crawl, the global recovery will take some time to truly stimulate economic growth.

“The past year was extremely challenging for commercial real estate, and we don’t anticipate much new demand in 2010,” said Jeffrey M. Finn, President & CEO of NAI Global. “We’re working with our corporate clients to help them take advantage of the current tenants’ market to reduce their long-term occupancy costs. Many tenants are able to negotiate more favorable lease terms today in exchange for a longer commitment. This ‘extend and blend’ practice is a trend we see continuing well into the next 18-24 months.”

Investors who have been sidelined by economic uncertainty will see tremendous acquisition opportunities in the coming year as banks and financial institutions clean up their balance sheets and move more aggressively to dispose of commercial real estate loans and financially distressed real estate assets, said Finn.

“The recession has been over for six months and job growth is just months away, but the fact remains it will be impossible to predict what will happen next,” added Dr. Peter Linneman, NAI Global Chief Economist and Principal at Linneman Associates. “With significant tax, healthcare and regulatory proposals still in the offing, there is little clarity as to the ultimate outcomes or costs. We’re concerned with commercial mortgage delinquency rates as they have been on the rise and could keep the commercial real estate industry in neutral for several more months.”

NAI Global is one of the largest real estate services providers worldwide. Headquartered in Princeton, New Jersey, NAI Global manages a network of 5,000 professionals and 325 offices in 55 countries. Now in its 24th year, NAI’s Global Market Report offers insider insight and perspective on market conditions reported by NAI experts on the ground in over 200 property markets worldwide. To obtain a copy of the full report, contact psetaro@naiglobal.com.