MaryKay West, who specializes in investment sales in NAI NBS' Capital Asset Group (CAG), has a column in today's Daily Journal of Commerce. West says that though the investment market certainly hasn't completely recovered yet, 2010 was a big improvement over 2009, and momentum is building in the Portland metro area.
Here's a brief excerpt:
In 2010 we saw a total of $754.1 million in transactions ($500,000 and larger) in the tri-county area. This number, although only 24 percent of the total volume of 2007, is still encouraging because it represents a 19 percent increase over 2009. Last year also saw a rise in the number of transactions greater than $10 million, and all product types were represented in this category - another promising sign.
Rent trends seem to have reversed course - rates are leveling off and perhaps even rising. Vacancy rates are dropping slightly and absorption is rising slowly - however, this is as much a function of no new construction as it is of few new companies leasing up more space. Cap rates are dropping again, but not precipitously, and most of the movement is for trophy properties. Interest rates are still very attractive.
All in all, it appears the market correction has started, but it will take a while to turn the ship - which is actually a good thing. Significant volatility tends to breed uncertainty and uncertainty tamps down real estate investment activity.
The whole article can be accessed here.
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